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The focus of the Russian Ukrainian war turns to Donbas, and the future war situation is likely to be more intense

According to the daily report of Ukraine's State News Agency, President Zelensky of Ukraine arrived in Kherson on the same day and delivered a speech to the army, saying that Ukraine was "advancing" and was ready for national peace. With the withdrawal of Russian troops from the city of Kherson, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine gradually turned to a new direction. According to the Daily News of Russia, 14 military experts said that in the future, the front of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will turn to the Donbas region in Uzbekistan.

Russia and Ukraine have attacked and defended each other

According to reports, in his speech, Zerenski said that he was "very happy" about the liberation of the city of Kherson. However, the situation in Russia and Ukraine is still very sticky. According to the air raid alert information issued by Ukraine's Ministry of Digital Transformation, 10 places, including Kherson, Donetsk and Lugansk, issued air raid alerts on the 14th.

As for the trend of the future war, the Russian Opinion Daily quoted the opinion of Russian military expert Onufilenko on the 14th that with the withdrawal of Russian troops from the direction of Kherson, Russia and Ukraine are currently in a state of confrontation across the Dnieper River, and the focus of the future war may focus on the Donbas region. In the direction of Donetsk, the Russian army announced on the 13th that it had fully controlled the strategic town of Mayorsk in the Donbas region. On the 14th, it won again and liberated Pavlovka; In the direction of Lugansk, the Russian army continued to attack the Ukrainian army. At present, both sides have released some troops from the direction of Kherson, or will continue to strengthen their defense in the Donbas area, and the exchange of fire and competition for this area may become more intense in the coming period.

With the withdrawal of Russian troops from the city of Kherson (1)

According to the Independent News Agency of Ukraine, Chernik, a Ukrainian military expert, believed that after a serious failure in the direction of Kherson, the Russian army tried to gain battlefield advantage in the Donbas region to divert attention and cover up previous failures. However, the latest report of the American War Research Institute shows that the Ukrainian army in the Donbas area will face great pressure, and Kiev may have to redeploy its troops to resist the Russian attack. However, other analysts believe that the Russian and Ukrainian armies are currently attacking and defending each other in Lugansk and Donetsk regions. The Russian army may not be able to maintain the current positive offensive momentum in the Donbas area, nor may it make significant progress in the war, because the Ukrainian army also frees some troops from the Kherson area. At the same time, because of logistical problems, the Ukrainian army is unlikely to pursue the Russian army through the Dnieper River, so it is likely that the Ukrainian army will consolidate its control over the West Bank, strengthen its platoon in Lugansk, or launch a counter offensive in other places. As time goes by, the Russian army may exchange huge losses for control of Bachmut in Donetsk.

Will the Ukrainian army attack Crimea?

Russia and Ukraine are still tense over Crimea. According to a report by The Viewpoint on the 14th, Ben Hodges, the former commander of the US military European Command, said in an interview on the 13th that there were very clear signs that Ukraine might approach Crimea and then deploy short-range missile systems near Russian positions, which would change the balance of strategic forces. He said that the Ukrainian army will recapture Mariupol in Donetsk and Melitopol in Zaporoge before January next year, and the situation in Crimea will also enter a decisive stage from next spring, "Ukrainians will not stay in winter for any reason".

In this regard, the Russian military expert Konstantin Sivkov said that from a military strategic point of view, the Ukrainian army could neither retake the Crimean Peninsula nor occupy Mariupol, and the Ukrainian army did not have such capabilities. However, Vladimir Kornilov, a Russian political analyst, admitted that after the Russian army withdrew from the city of Kherson, the Ukrainian army might destroy the canal in the north of Crimea and the Kahovka Hydropower Station to prevent fresh water from entering Crimea.

The West Demands Accountability for Russia

With the withdrawal of Russian troops from the city of Kherson (5)

Western countries continue to denounce Russia. At the special meeting resumed on the 14th, the United Nations General Assembly discussed whether to fund Ukraine with frozen Russian assets, which was strongly criticized by the Russian side. According to the daily report of RIA Novosti 14, the First Deputy Permanent Representative of Russia to the United Nations, Borianski, said on the 13th that the Western countries tried to pass the draft without debate, but Russia prevented them. Polyanski wrote on social media that the inside story of such an initiative launched by the West can be seen. The resolution is a "fig leaf". They try to steal money in this way to buy new weapons and repay Ukraine's foreign debts.

In addition, the United States will carry out a new round of military assistance to Ukraine. According to the Ukrainian state news agency, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs Sullivan said on the 13th that the United States would provide a new batch of military assistance to Ukraine in the coming weeks. In addition, Reuters reported on the 14th that a White House official said that William Burns, director of the US Central Intelligence Agency, and Nareshkin, director of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency, met in Ankara, the capital of Türkiye, the same day to pass information on the consequences of Russia's possible use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine.

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With the withdrawal of Russian troops from the city of Kherson (4)
With the withdrawal of Russian troops from the city of Kherson (3)
With the withdrawal of Russian troops from the city of Kherson (2)

Post time: Nov-16-2022